Could Bird Flu Pandemic Rival COVID Disaster?
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Could a bird flu pandemic be ‘100 times worse’ than COVID?
Could Bird Flu Pandemic Rival COVID Disaster?
A bird flu outbreak wasn’t penciled into our future, but fate seems to have other plans…
Concerns are mounting among scientists over the potential devastation of a bird flu pandemic, which some warn could surpass the havoc wrought by COVID-19, following a confirmed case in a Texas rancher.
A strain of the H5N1 bird flu virus, emerging initially in 2020, has since proliferated among avian populations across all 50 states, both in the wild and in commercial poultry. The recent twist? This strain is now leaping to mammals. According to the CDC, it has infiltrated over 200 mammalian species, including goats and cattle, since 2022. The alarm bells rang louder last month with a multi-state outbreak in dairy cows.
Human Toll: The latest blow landed when a Texas dairy worker contracted the virus, though thankfully with mild symptoms, currently managed with antiviral treatment. It’s a stark contrast to the grim statistics: a chilling 52% fatality rate among humans infected with H5N1 since 2003, dwarfing COVID’s current mortality rate of less than 0.1%.
Human Risk? As of now, akin to the Texas case, human transmission remains tied to direct exposure, with the CDC reassured noting “the current risk to the general public from bird flu viruses is low.”
Nightmare Scenario: Enter John Fulton, a prominent voice in the pharmaceutical world, who painted a dire picture: “This appears to be 100 times worse than COVID — or it could be if it mutates and maintains its high case fatality rate.” While past incidents have yet to witness bird flu mutate into rampant human-to-human transmission, the real menace lies elsewhere — in our food chain. With outbreaks in dairy farms or poultry facilities, culling becomes inevitable. In a grim move, the nation’s largest egg producer halted production, culling nearly 2 million chickens.
While we are not sounding the alarm just yet, a recent report unearthed unsettling ties between the U.S. government and Chinese scientists, collaborating on experiments to enhance the infectivity and lethality of bird flu strains. The lesson? Perhaps, never say never.
[Source: CDC, Daily Fetched, NY Post, Reuters]
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