WHO WILL GOVERN
Written by Peter Boykin on October 28, 2022
Shared By Peter Boykin – American Political Commentator / Citizen Journalist
WHO WILL GOVERN?
With the midterm elections less than two weeks away, we’re doing a deep dive into the House, Senate, and Governor’s races.
We covered the Senate races, which you can read here.
Today we’re talking about the Governor’s races, where the Republicans currently hold 28 state governor’s seats and Democrats hold 22.
This cycle, 34 of those seats are up for re-election.
Governors forecast: There are a lot of election analysts out there, but for the sake of this article, we’re going to use Real Clear Politics.
Republicans end up with 31 governors
Democrats end up with 19 governors
…that’s a 3 state pick-up for Republicans.
In this scenario:
Democrats take two seats held by Republicans [Massachusetts, Maryland]
Republicans take five seats held by Democrats [Kansas, Michigan, Nevada, Oregon, and Wisconsin].
Other races where we have a shot:
In Pennsylvania, Doug Mastriano
(R) is running against Josh Shapiro (D) and current Gov. Tom Wolf (D) reaches his term limit. The polls have Shapiro up by about 6%. But President Trump is going all in to help Mastriano close the gap and is doing a rally in PA the night before the election.
In New York, Lee Zeldin (R) is running against incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul (D). Polls have Hochul up by about 6%; But after a strong debate performance by Zeldin this week, I think we’ll see that gap close a bit.
We’re not concentrating on Republican heavy-hitters like Ron DeSantis, Kristi Noem, and Greg Abbott in this article because they’re going to blow out their opponents and keep their seats.
The same goes for Kari Lake, the Trump-endorsed candidate in Arizona who has never been in politics. The latest polls have her up 10 points.
While we can see the massive, red wave on the horizon, this isn’t the time to take our foot off the gas.
Make sure your calendar is clear to vote on election day. Offer to drive a [Republican] family member or friend to the polls with you. And if you can’t make it on election day, vote early.
[Source: Real Clear Politics]
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